{"id":4204,"date":"2020-04-24T12:00:12","date_gmt":"2020-04-24T15:00:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/?p=4204"},"modified":"2020-05-20T21:42:53","modified_gmt":"2020-05-21T00:42:53","slug":"observacoes-sobre-previsoes-da-evolucao-da-covid-19-por-modelos-matematicos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/observacoes-sobre-previsoes-da-evolucao-da-covid-19-por-modelos-matematicos\/","title":{"rendered":"Observa\u00e7\u00f5es sobre previs\u00f5es da evolu\u00e7\u00e3o da Covid-19 por modelos matem\u00e1ticos"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8221; Para auxiliar o leitor geral a interpretar melhor os v\u00e1rios resultados que possa estar recebendo, pode ser \u00fatil fazer algumas observa\u00e7\u00f5es matem\u00e1ticas simples que, embora bem conhecidas por matem\u00e1ticos, n\u00e3o s\u00e3o de conhecimento geral.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Segue em anexo o texto do professor Paulo R. Zingano (IME\/UFRGS) explicando por que previs\u00f5es de longo prazo para a Covid-19 n\u00e3o conseguem ser muito confi\u00e1veis mesmo com tantos modelos matem\u00e1ticos dispon\u00edveis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/Evolu\u00e7\u00e3o_da_Covid1-1.pdf\">https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/Evolu\u00e7\u00e3o_da_Covid1-1.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8221; Para auxiliar o leitor geral a interpretar melhor os v\u00e1rios resultados que possa estar recebendo, pode ser \u00fatil fazer algumas observa\u00e7\u00f5es matem\u00e1ticas simples que, embora bem conhecidas por matem\u00e1ticos, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":4160,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4204","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias"],"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":["https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/corona-ime-1.png",560,315,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/corona-ime-1-150x150.png",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/corona-ime-1-300x169.png",300,169,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/corona-ime-1.png",560,315,false],"large":["https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/corona-ime-1.png",560,315,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/corona-ime-1.png",560,315,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/corona-ime-1.png",560,315,false]},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"Cleia","author_link":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/author\/cleia\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"&#8221; Para auxiliar o leitor geral a interpretar melhor os v\u00e1rios resultados que possa estar recebendo, pode ser \u00fatil fazer algumas observa\u00e7\u00f5es matem\u00e1ticas simples que, embora bem conhecidas por matem\u00e1ticos, [&hellip;]","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4204","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4204"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4204\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4207,"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4204\/revisions\/4207"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4160"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4204"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4204"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ime\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4204"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}