{"id":2312,"date":"2025-07-22T21:06:41","date_gmt":"2025-07-23T00:06:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ppgest\/?p=2312"},"modified":"2025-07-22T21:06:41","modified_gmt":"2025-07-23T00:06:41","slug":"ciclo-de-seminarios-2025-prof-dr-valderio-a-reisen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ppgest\/ciclo-de-seminarios-2025-prof-dr-valderio-a-reisen\/","title":{"rendered":"Ciclo de Semin\u00e1rios 2025 &#8211; Prof. Dr. Valderio A. Reisen"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Temos o prazer de convidar a todos para mais um semin\u00e1rio do Programa de P\u00f3s-Gradua\u00e7\u00e3o em Estat\u00edstica da UFRGS (PPGEst-UFRGS).<\/p>\n<div id=\"v1forwardbody1\">\n<div id=\"v1v1forwardbody1\">\n<div id=\"v1v1v1forwardbody1\">\n<div id=\"v1v1v1v1forwardbody1\">\n<div id=\"v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1forwardbody1\">\n<div id=\"v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1forwardbody1\">\n<div id=\"v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1forwardbody1\">\n<div id=\"v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1forwardbody1\">\n<div id=\"v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1forwardbody1\">\n<div class=\"v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1xdj266r v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1x11i5rnm v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1xat24cr v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1x1mh8g0r v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1x1vvkbs v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1x126k92a\">\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1x11i5rnm v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1xat24cr v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1x1mh8g0r v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1x1vvkbs v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1xtlvy1s v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1x126k92a\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">\n<p><strong>T\u00edtulo:<\/strong> M-robust approach to estimate Seasonal INAR processes and outlier detection based on Wavelets and the application to the daily air<br \/>\nquality index data for the pollutant Carbon.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Resumo:<\/strong> This study investigates the detection of outliers in INAR(1)s models using an approach based on wavelet transforms and robust parameter estimation. Initially, the fundamental concepts of the INAR(1)s model are reviewed, followed by the proposal of a new detection method that combines the Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT) and the Maximal Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT) with a robust version of conditional least squares (CLS) based on M-estimators. The Seasonal Discrete Wavelet Transform (SDWT) is introduced as an extension of the DWT, adapted to handle seasonality in count time series. The proposed method uses thresholds based on the empirical distribution of the<br \/>\ndetail coefficients, enhancing the identification of outlier values. The effectiveness of the procedure was<br \/>\nevaluated through Monte Carlo simulations, comparing the percentage of correctly detected outliers. The practical application, exemplified by air quality index data, demonstrates the relevance and applicability of the method, offering a robust and efficient approach for outlier detection in seasonal daily air<br \/>\nquality index data for the pollutant Carbon.<br \/>\nKeywords: Outliers, Robustness, Wavelets, Thresholds, Time Series, INAR(1)s.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1x11i5rnm v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1xat24cr v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1x1mh8g0r v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1x1vvkbs v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1xtlvy1s v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1x126k92a\">\n<div dir=\"auto\"><strong>Palestrante:<\/strong>\u00a0<span class=\"OYPEnA font-feature-liga-off font-feature-clig-off font-feature-calt-off text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\">Prof.<\/span><span class=\"OYPEnA font-feature-liga-off font-feature-clig-off font-feature-calt-off text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\"> Dr. Valderio A. Reisen &#8211; Centrale Sup\u00e9lec-Universit\u00e9 Paris-Sud (Fran\u00e7a), Unicamp (SP, Brasil), e UFES (ES, Brasil).<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1x11i5rnm v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1xat24cr v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1x1mh8g0r v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1x1vvkbs v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1xtlvy1s v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1v1x126k92a\">\n<div dir=\"auto\"><strong>Data:<\/strong> 29\/07\/2025<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><strong>Hor\u00e1rio<\/strong>:14h<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><strong>Local:\u00a0<\/strong>Sala\u00a0<span class=\"OYPEnA font-feature-liga-off font-feature-clig-off font-feature-calt-off text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\">A101, pr\u00e9dio 43111 <\/span>, IME \u2013 UFRGS<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Temos o prazer de convidar a todos para mais um semin\u00e1rio do Programa de P\u00f3s-Gradua\u00e7\u00e3o em Estat\u00edstica da UFRGS (PPGEst-UFRGS). T\u00edtulo: M-robust approach to estimate Seasonal INAR processes and outlier detection based on Wavelets and the application to the daily air quality index data for the pollutant Carbon. Resumo: This study investigates the detection of &hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"> <a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ppgest\/ciclo-de-seminarios-2025-prof-dr-valderio-a-reisen\/\"> <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Ciclo de Semin\u00e1rios 2025 &#8211; Prof. Dr. Valderio A. Reisen<\/span> Read More &raquo;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2313,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ppgest\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2312"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ppgest\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ppgest\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ppgest\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ppgest\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2312"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ppgest\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2312\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2314,"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ppgest\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2312\/revisions\/2314"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ppgest\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2313"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ppgest\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2312"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ppgest\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2312"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/ppgest\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2312"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}