{"id":576,"date":"2026-09-22T22:22:38","date_gmt":"2026-09-23T01:22:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/semanistica\/?page_id=576"},"modified":"2026-10-08T14:39:49","modified_gmt":"2026-10-08T17:39:49","slug":"inicio","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/semanistica\/","title":{"rendered":"In\u00edcio"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<style>\n@import url('https:\/\/fonts.googleapis.com\/css2?family=Oswald:wght@400;500;600;700&display=swap');\n.smtc, .smtc *{font-family:'Oswald',Arial,sans-serif !important;box-sizing:border-box;}\n.smtc section{padding:90px 24px;}\n.smtc .hero{background:#000 !important;text-align:center;padding:56px 24px 48px;}\n.smtc .hero, .smtc .hero *{color:#FAF8F2 !important;}\n.smtc .pill-row{display:flex;gap:10px;justify-content:center;flex-wrap:wrap;margin-bottom:36px;}\n.smtc .pill{border:2px solid #FAF8F2 !important;border-radius:999px;padding:6px 18px;font-size:12px;letter-spacing:.08em;text-transform:uppercase;}\n.smtc 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.pcarousel{position:relative;width:100%;}\n.smtc .pcover{width:100%;position:relative;aspect-ratio:21\/9;overflow:hidden;}\n.smtc .pcover img{position:absolute;left:50%;top:0;width:100%;max-width:none;height:auto;transform:translateX(-50%);}\n.smtc .pcover.pcover-d1 img{width:140%;top:0;}\n.smtc .pcover.pcover-d2 img{width:131%;top:2.5%;}\n.smtc .pcover.pcover-d3 img{width:106%;top:-8%;mix-blend-mode:multiply;}\n@media (max-width:640px){.smtc .pcover{aspect-ratio:4\/3;}.smtc .pcover.pcover-d1 img{width:260%;}.smtc .pcover.pcover-d2 img{width:180%;top:4%;}.smtc .pcover.pcover-d3{aspect-ratio:16\/9;}.smtc .pcover.pcover-d3 img{width:106%;top:-5%;}}\n.smtc .pcarousel-track{display:flex;overflow-x:auto;scroll-snap-type:x mandatory;-webkit-overflow-scrolling:touch;scrollbar-width:none;}\n.smtc .pcarousel-track::-webkit-scrollbar{display:none;}\n.smtc .pslide{position:relative;flex:0 0 100%;scroll-snap-align:start;aspect-ratio:1456\/816;background:#fff;overflow:hidden;}\n.smtc 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class=\"pill\">Seman\u00edstica 2026<\/span>\n    <\/div>\n    <h1>Estat\u00edstica em ano de elei\u00e7\u00e3o<\/h1>\n    <div class=\"sub\">Academia \u2192 Pesquisa \u2192 Dados \u2192 Decis\u00e3o \u2192 Impacto<\/div>\n    <div class=\"dates\">20 a 22 de outubro \u2022 09h \u00e0s 12h \u2022 Pr\u00e9dio A, Campus do Vale<\/div>\n    <div class=\"hero-cta\">\n      <a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/forms\/d\/e\/1FAIpQLSc_Sgi8P9xeBGt_AMwPPGezkVJJ05jbcsl1_MXzlK9BnSNKgw\/viewform\">Inscreva-se<\/a>\n      <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/semanistica\/cronograma\/\">Ver programa\u00e7\u00e3o<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"day light\">\n    <section class=\"intro\">\n      <h2>Por que estat\u00edstica em ano de elei\u00e7\u00e3o?<\/h2>\n      <p>H\u00e1 tr\u00eas d\u00e9cadas, pesquisas como as do Datafolha e do Quaest mostram as mesmas preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es no topo da lista dos brasileiros: sa\u00fade, seguran\u00e7a p\u00fablica e educa\u00e7\u00e3o. A Seman\u00edstica 2026 usa esses temas como vitrine para mostrar como a Estat\u00edstica pode contribuir na resolu\u00e7\u00e3o dos problemas reais do pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n      <p>O rigor metodol\u00f3gico e a inova\u00e7\u00e3o tecnol\u00f3gica perdem sua for\u00e7a se ficarem restritos aos muros da  universidade, pois o impacto de um modelo estat\u00edstico consolida-se apenas quando a sociedade compreende sua utilidade. Por isso, este evento adota o formato de Divulga\u00e7\u00e3o Cient\u00edfica. O foco \u00e9 provar que a estat\u00edstica de excel\u00eancia \u00e9 aquela que consegue dialogar com todos interessados e demonstrar impacto real e transformador no cotidiano.<\/p>\n    <\/section>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"day light\">\n    <section class=\"summary1\">\n      <div class=\"badges\">\n        <span class=\"badge\">Dia 1<\/span><span class=\"badge\">Sa\u00fade<\/span><span class=\"badge\">Estat\u00edstica, dados e preserva\u00e7\u00e3o da vida<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <h2>Sa\u00fade<\/h2>\n      <div class=\"big-number\">1988<\/div>\n      <p>SUS: sa\u00fade como direito universal.<br> \n1989: \u00faltimo caso de poliomielite no Brasil. \n1991: Datasus criado oficialmente. Mais de 300 milh\u00f5es de doses distribu\u00eddas anualmente pelo PNI, 5.570 munic\u00edpios monitorados.<\/p>\n      <div class=\"stat-grid\">\n        <div class=\"stat\"><h3>HIV\/AIDS<\/h3><p>O Brasil foi o primeiro pa\u00eds em desenvolvimento a adotar a distribui\u00e7\u00e3o gratuita e universal da terapia antirretroviral. Com o tratamento em massa, a sobrevida mediana dos pacientes dobrou j\u00e1 no fim dos anos 1990, de senten\u00e7a de curto prazo a condi\u00e7\u00e3o cr\u00f4nica gerenci\u00e1vel.<\/p><\/div>\n        <div class=\"stat\"><h3>Envelhecimento<\/h3><p>O aumento da expectativa de vida exige modelos preditivos e aloca\u00e7\u00e3o eficiente de recursos hospitalares.<\/p><\/div>\n        <div class=\"stat\"><h3>DCNTs<\/h3><p>Doen\u00e7as cr\u00f4nicas n\u00e3o transmiss\u00edveis respondem por 70% dos \u00f3bitos. Dados cont\u00ednuos s\u00e3o essenciais.<\/p><\/div>\n        <div class=\"stat\"><h3>Transplantes &amp; UTI<\/h3><p>Ocupa\u00e7\u00e3o, tempo e efic\u00e1cia monitorados em tempo real, log\u00edstica hospitalar orientada por an\u00e1lise estat\u00edstica precisa.<\/p><\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"quote\">&#8220;Uma v\u00edrgula fora do lugar pode ter consequ\u00eancias reais.&#8221; Os desafios da sa\u00fade p\u00fablica evolu\u00edram. A estat\u00edstica acompanha, e orienta, cada decis\u00e3o cr\u00edtica.<\/div>\n      <div class=\"flow\">Da universidade para a sociedade<\/div>\n      <div class=\"speakers\">\n        <div><h4>Fundamento<\/h4><p><b>Prof\u00aa. Dr\u00aa. Paula Bracco<\/b>Modelagem epidemiol\u00f3gica e rigor metodol\u00f3gico aplicados \u00e0 sa\u00fade coletiva<\/p><\/div>\n        <div><h4>Inova\u00e7\u00e3o<\/h4><p><b>Catarina Pegoraro<\/b>Modelagem em diabetes gestacional<\/p><p><b>J\u00falia Cauduro<\/b>Cardiopatias cong\u00eanitas no RS<\/p><\/div>\n        <div><h4>Pr\u00e1tica e valor<\/h4><p><b>Rafaela Gomes<\/b>Gest\u00e3o e an\u00e1lise de dados oncol\u00f3gicos em ensaios cl\u00ednicos<\/p><\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"day light\">\n    <div class=\"pcover pcover-d1\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/semanistica\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1_remove_bg-2.png\" alt=\"Pr\u00e9dio hist\u00f3rico \u2014 Dia 1\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/div>\n<!-- carrossel completo (temporariamente desativado, ver changelog) \n<div class=\"pcarousel\">\n      <div class=\"pcarousel-track\">\n        <div class=\"pslide imgslide\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/semanistica\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/page-1.png\" alt=\"Dia 1 &mdash; p\u00e1gina 1\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"pslide imgslide\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/semanistica\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/page-2.png\" alt=\"Dia 1 &mdash; p\u00e1gina 2\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"pslide imgslide\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/semanistica\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/page-3.png\" alt=\"Dia 1 &mdash; p\u00e1gina 3\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"pslide imgslide\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/semanistica\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/page-4.png\" alt=\"Dia 1 &mdash; p\u00e1gina 4\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"pslide imgslide\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/semanistica\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/page-5.png\" alt=\"Dia 1 &mdash; p\u00e1gina 5\"><\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <button class=\"carousel-btn prev\" aria-label=\"Slide anterior\">&#8249;<\/button>\n      <button class=\"carousel-btn next\" aria-label=\"Pr\u00f3ximo slide\">&#8250;<\/button>\n      <div class=\"pdots\">\n        <button aria-label=\"Slide 1\"><\/button><button aria-label=\"Slide 2\"><\/button><button aria-label=\"Slide 3\"><\/button><button aria-label=\"Slide 4\"><\/button><button aria-label=\"Slide 5\"><\/button>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n-->\n  <\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"day dark\">\n    <section class=\"summary1\">\n      <div class=\"badges\">\n        <span class=\"badge\">Dia 2<\/span><span class=\"badge\">Seguran\u00e7a P\u00fablica<\/span><span class=\"badge\">A Ci\u00eancia do Risco<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <h2>Seguran\u00e7a p\u00fablica<\/h2>\n      <div class=\"stat-grid\">\n        <div class=\"stat\"><h3>Monitoramento<\/h3><p>497 munic\u00edpios monitorados: microdados integrados de todo o territ\u00f3rio ga\u00facho.<\/p><\/div>\n        <div class=\"stat\"><h3>Volume cr\u00edtico<\/h3><p>Mais de duas d\u00e9cadas de mem\u00f3ria estat\u00edstica ininterrupta, de 2002 a 2026.<\/p><\/div>\n        <div class=\"stat\"><h3>Indicadores padronizados<\/h3><p>Monitoramento sistem\u00e1tico de homic\u00eddio doloso, latroc\u00ednio, roubo de ve\u00edculos e roubo a transporte p\u00fablico.<\/p><\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"big-number\">2017<\/div>\n      <p>O \u00e1pice da crise: 2.990 v\u00edtimas de homic\u00eddio doloso no RS. A curva de inflex\u00e3o: 2.368 v\u00edtimas em 2018 e 1.561 em 2021 \u2014 queda estrutural de 47,8% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao pico hist\u00f3rico.<\/p>\n      <div class=\"stat-grid\">\n        <div class=\"stat\"><h3>Cen\u00e1rio 2024<\/h3><p>1.474 v\u00edtimas de homic\u00eddio doloso, taxa de 13,1 por 100 mil habitantes \u2014 queda de 16,2% frente a 2023 (Anu\u00e1rio Brasileiro de Seguran\u00e7a P\u00fablica).<\/p><\/div>\n        <div class=\"stat\"><h3>Monitoramento cont\u00ednuo<\/h3><p>Indicadores municipais com atualiza\u00e7\u00e3o cont\u00ednua, com dados de setembro de 2026.<\/p><\/div>\n        <div class=\"stat\"><h3>Georreferenciamento<\/h3><p>Identifica\u00e7\u00e3o de manchas criminais por via, cruzamento e hor\u00e1rio cr\u00edtico, em alta resolu\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p><\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"flow\">Da universidade para a sociedade<\/div>\n      <div class=\"speakers\">\n        <div><h4>Fundamento<\/h4><p><b>Prof. Dr. Renan Xavier Cortes<\/b>Modelagem aplicada \u00e0 criminalidade<\/p><\/div>\n        <div><h4>Pr\u00e1tica e valor<\/h4><p><b>Henrique Joner e equipe<\/b>Georreferenciamento operacional e intelig\u00eancia<\/p><\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"day dark\">\n    <div class=\"pcover pcover-d2\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/semanistica\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1_remove_bg-3.png\" alt=\"Pr\u00e9dio hist\u00f3rico \u2014 Dia 2\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/div>\n<!-- carrossel completo (temporariamente desativado, ver changelog) \n<div class=\"pcarousel\">\n      <div class=\"pcarousel-track\">\n        <div class=\"pslide imgslide\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/semanistica\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/page-1-1.png\" alt=\"Dia 2 &mdash; p\u00e1gina 1\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"pslide imgslide\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/semanistica\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/page-2-1.png\" alt=\"Dia 2 &mdash; p\u00e1gina 2\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"pslide imgslide\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/semanistica\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/page-3-1.png\" alt=\"Dia 2 &mdash; p\u00e1gina 3\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"pslide imgslide\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/semanistica\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/page-4-1.png\" alt=\"Dia 2 &mdash; p\u00e1gina 4\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"pslide imgslide\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/semanistica\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/page-5-1.png\" alt=\"Dia 2 &mdash; p\u00e1gina 5\"><\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <button class=\"carousel-btn prev\" aria-label=\"Slide anterior\">&#8249;<\/button>\n      <button class=\"carousel-btn next\" aria-label=\"Pr\u00f3ximo slide\">&#8250;<\/button>\n      <div class=\"pdots\">\n        <button aria-label=\"Slide 1\"><\/button><button aria-label=\"Slide 2\"><\/button><button aria-label=\"Slide 3\"><\/button><button aria-label=\"Slide 4\"><\/button><button aria-label=\"Slide 5\"><\/button>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n-->\n  <\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"day light\">\n    <section class=\"summary1\">\n      <div class=\"badges\">\n        <span class=\"badge\">Dia 3<\/span><span class=\"badge\">Educa\u00e7\u00e3o<\/span><span class=\"badge\">A Soberania Intelectual<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <h2>Educa\u00e7\u00e3o<\/h2>\n      <div class=\"stat-grid\">\n        <div class=\"stat\"><h3>A funda\u00e7\u00e3o e o futuro do PPGEst<\/h3><p>Tudo sobre a cria\u00e7\u00e3o do primeiro programa de p\u00f3s-gradua\u00e7\u00e3o em Estat\u00edstica do Sul do Brasil: reter talentos na regi\u00e3o, o impacto para a sociedade ga\u00facha, o que j\u00e1 foi consolidado e as pr\u00f3ximas fronteiras.<\/p><\/div>\n        <div class=\"stat\"><h3>A ci\u00eancia em tempo real<\/h3><p>Dois projetos de pesquisa aplicada em andamento no PPGEst: rigor metodol\u00f3gico e conhecimento estat\u00edstico sendo produzidos neste exato momento.<\/p><\/div>\n        <div class=\"stat\"><h3>Do quadro negro para o mercado<\/h3><p>Como o aprofundamento acad\u00eamico e a exig\u00eancia metodol\u00f3gica se convertem em diferencial competitivo, vis\u00e3o cr\u00edtica e impacto real na tomada de decis\u00e3o fora da academia.<\/p><\/div>\n        <div class=\"stat\"><h3>Estat\u00edstica na era da IA<\/h3><p>Mesa redonda de encerramento: limites, riscos estruturais e oportunidades de integra\u00e7\u00e3o entre a modelagem estat\u00edstica cl\u00e1ssica e o avan\u00e7o acelerado das ferramentas de IA.<\/p><\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"flow\">Da universidade para a sociedade<\/div>\n      <div class=\"speakers\">\n        <div><h4>Fundamento<\/h4><p><b>Prof. Dr. Guilherme Pumi<\/b>Coordenador do PPGEst<\/p><\/div>\n        <div><h4>Inova\u00e7\u00e3o<\/h4><p><b>P\u00f3s-graduandos do PPGEst<\/b>Pesquisas em andamento<\/p><\/div>\n        <div><h4>Pr\u00e1tica e valor<\/h4><p><b>Ex-aluno do PPGEst<\/b>Profissional de destaque no mercado<\/p><\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"day light\">\n    <div class=\"pcover pcover-d3\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/semanistica\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/DIA_3_paula_bracco-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Lombadas de livros com os nomes dos professores do PPGEst \u2014 Dia 3\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/div>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"cta\">\n    <h2>Seman\u00edstica 2026 \u2022 20 a 22 de outubro<\/h2>\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/forms\/d\/e\/1FAIpQLSc_Sgi8P9xeBGt_AMwPPGezkVJJ05jbcsl1_MXzlK9BnSNKgw\/viewform\">Inscreva-se<\/a>\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ufrgs.br\/semanistica\/cronograma\/\">Ver programa\u00e7\u00e3o<\/a>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<script>\n(function(){\n  function wire(root, trackSel, itemSel, dotsSel){\n    root.querySelectorAll(trackSel).forEach(function(track){\n      var car = track.closest('.pcarousel');\n      var slides = car.querySelectorAll(itemSel);\n      var dots = car.querySelectorAll(dotsSel + ' button');\n      function go(i){\nvar n = slides.length; 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