Ocorrerá no dia 05/07/2023, quarta-feira, às 16h na sala 401A-FCE o Seminário de Pesquisa “Elections in the Time of COVID-19: incumbency effects on non-pharmaceutical interventions in Brazilian cities” na área de Economia Aplicada pelos Profº Giacomo Balbinotto Neto (PPGE/UFRGS), Marcelo de Carvalho Griebeler (PPGE/UFRGS) e o doutor pelo PPGE Henrique Serra Sitjá.
Autores: Henrique Serra Sitjá (UFRGS), Giacomo Balbinotto Neto (PPGE/UFRGS), Marcelo de Carvalho Griebeler (PPGE/UFRGS)
Abstract: The study investigates the role of electoral incentives in shaping policies adopted by mayors during the pandemic in Brazil aiming to reduce the virus circulation during the year 2020. A signalling model was constructed to formulate the hypothesis that the ideology from the mayor as well as the constituents may shape the adoption of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions during election season. To test it, a dataset was constructed combining public data and datapapers with electoral results, finding that right-wing incumbents running for reelection adopted less stringent measures against COVID-19 when business closures were considered and more social protection policies in the same context. The empirical analysis validated the theoretical predictions, indicating that political ideology and voter beliefs and preferences exert electoral incentives during crises.